Thursday, February 15, 2018

Russia on the brink of nuclear war

The world is on the brink of a new world war. As early as February 2016, Russia expressed its fears of the actions of our neighboring Turkey.
"If Turkey is involved in a military conflict over Syria, we will do a nuclear attack, which is unavoidable because Ankara will also activate NATO, which will put our nation in a state of play."
This is what Mikhail Alexandrov, an expert at the Center for Military Political Studies in Moscow, said. According to him, the current actions of the Turkish Army on the border with Syria speak of a prepared offensive and invasion.
Tank units and planes were ready to invade Syrian territory. This means the escalation of the conflict and the "hot" war, Alexandrov says. It will be a big mistake if Russia does not hit nuclear in Turkey, because NATO and Ankara will try to get it into a war like the one in the Crimea. This means gradual escalation, fighting in the Caucasus, heavy blows on our groupings in Syria. The West will help Turkey with new weapons, transfer modern aviation, and tormenting combat, according to the expert. If Turkey decides to provoke a conflict with us, it must act decisively, swiftly and swiftly. Our nuclear strikes destroy the infrastructure and military sites of Turkey. Of course, it is not about cities and the peaceful population. No way. The troops of the troops, the ammunition depots and the military units will hit. We need only a few hours to destroy the military infrastructure of Turkey, the military expert says. Sufficient were a few ballistic missiles and Iskenderov-M with nuclear charges. After the destruction of the infrastructure, the Russian troops had to take the area to the straits.
NATO will not be able to do anything. European countries will be in shock and will not react at all. Americans will be faced with a choice: either to start a strategic war with us for Turkey or to keep ourselves and the world. That is why they will start negotiations. Not to mention that the Kurds will benefit from the situation and will very quickly declare independence of their lands from Turkey.
War is the ultimate option. Even on the ground, there are opportunities for good solutions to the conflict between Turkey and Russia, says the Deputy Head of the Tauric Information and Analytical Center - RISI - Sergey Ernakov. According to him, many players who are against Turkey and Moscow should use this are involved. Turkey is at a disadvantage because even the Kurds will rebel and whole areas will be cut off and involved in military action. Ermakov says Turkey is militarily strong, but not enough to scare Russia. We have a fleet that can make crushing blows at a great distance. Even only in the Black Sea. We have a good satellite positioning, a troop management system with unique capabilities. Not to mention aviation and missiles. Turkey, of course, is a member of NATO. The fifth article of the mutual assistance treaty will be triggered. But I doubt that the United States and Europe will go on such a large-scale conflict. We are not an aggressor, but a state that responds to the Turkish provocation. Countries will think about it because nobody wants a general planetary war, says the expert.
According to high-ranking sources in the Russian Ministry of Defense, following the overthrow of Russian Su-24 over Syria, strategic Russian forces have "targeted Turkey". However, this is not officially confirmed. The fact is, however, that this week in the Russian aviation group in Syria have been sent four multi-purpose super-maneuvers Su-35C. They are from generation 4 ++, which precedes the fifth generation of T-50, whose production is postponed indefinitely.
For now, Russia has not taken action against Turkey. Presidents Putin and Erdogan are in very warm relations and there is no memory of the tensions of a year ago. The two dictators, however, are connected with another, and the immense danger of losing power in their own countries. After the elections in Russia this year and those in Turkey in the next one, a new escalation of tension between them may be expected.

Emigration from Russia is growing

Every day the number of people trying to leave Roussia is increasing. Essentially these are educated people of working age. When sociologists ask the Russians whether they like the US, the answer is clear - "net". A study by the Independent Center, Levada, shows that 71 percent of Russian citizens are playing a "negative role in the world," according to Bloomberg. Another impression, however, may be left from the State Department's data, according to which Russian entries for the green card lottery have reached their record - 265,086. Only four of them will get a green card though.
Another 3,622 citizens of the Russian Federation have been granted permission to live permanently in the United States for 2014. Among them are 56 people who have received visas after promising to invest at least $ 500,000 in business in the country. the moment is 143 million people. According to experts, poor Russians want to earn more, and the rich want a safe place for their money. This makes people from all social classes leave their homeland. Extremely large is the brain drain to the States in the technology, banking and law sectors. Putin said foreign organizations act as vacuum cleaners to lure Russians abroad. Other 75, 300 people have received visas for the EU and Switzerland, 25% more than in 2010. England, Germany and Spain are the preferred locations. Israel also reported a jump of 30% to those wishing to settle there.
"Kremlin politics makes the educated class choose - either stand under the flag of the war against the West or leave," said Alexander Morozov, a political scientist who recently went to Germany.
Emigration makes Rousse feel increasingly acute in the shortage of qualified staff, which is reflected in all areas of the economy. Even in the arms industry, projects are being frozen, both because of lack of specialists and lack of money.

Sunday, January 21, 2018

New collapse of cryptocellulites

The imposition of cryptoLights and their adaptation to the global financial system is a fact. There is a new drop in their price for the past weeks. For the past 10 days, this is the third largest fall in the value of major currencies. Their stockpile collapsed from over $ 800 billion on January 7 to $ 580 billion. Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum and Bitcoin Cash dropped by about 10% on the last day, while smaller digital currencies posted higher losses. The only exception among the top 20 is NEO and Monero, which continue to rise. This decline is not enough to deny the crypto-lump diggers that generate revenue for the largest computer hardware manufacturers. 

Saturday, October 7, 2017

Lagarde: The revival of the world economy is lasting

"The long-awaited global revival of the economy is lasting," and three-fourths of countries around the world enjoy economic recovery within the broadest acceleration of growth since the beginning of the decade, Christine Lagarde, head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), said. This means more jobs and improved living standards in many areas of the world, Lagarde said in a speech to students at Harvard University, quoted by AFP. IMF Managing Director assumed that the financial agency, which has 189 member countries, is likely to improve its prospects for global growth when it publishes its next forecast next week. 
"We see that such an expected world revival is a well-established fact," Lagarde said. In July, the IMF predicts global economy growth of 3.5 per cent this year and 3.6 per cent in 2018 - the fastest growth since 2011. 
But at the same time, Lagarde stressed that last year, in 47 countries, Gross Domestic Product per capita has decreased and the gap between the rich and the poor has continued to increase. It has urged countries to take advantage of the improved opportunities to generate reforms that can to promote prosperity. In her view, the key question now is how to make use of the opportunity offered by this revival to ensure the revival and to create an economy that benefits more people. 

Donald Trump is about to cancel Obama's "clean energy"

US President Donald Trump's government will overturn the cornerstone in his predecessor Barack Obama's measures to slow down global warming. This will be done by alleviating greenhouse gas emissions from coal-fired power plants, the Associated Press reports. The new government plan is expected to be presented within days.
It provides for the US Environmental Protection Agency to declare that the rules of the Obama era contradict federal legislation, imposing emission standards for which there is no reasonable reason to believe that they can be met. The Associated Press has obtained a copy of the 43-page document. It also shows the efforts of the US government to revive the troublesome coal industry, BTA writes. With this new proposal from the Environmental Protection Agency, Tramp's election promise to put an end to Obama's measures to curb global warming is in practice. It also emerges after the current US president has promised to pull out his country from the Paris climate treaty, the Associated Press reports. The Environmental Protection Agency will not immediately propose new rules to replace those of Obama's time, but will want to initiate public debates on the issue of reducing emissions from coal and natural gas plants. 
A spokeswoman for the agency refuses to comment on the authenticity of the leaked document, but says the Obama administration has exceeded its powers too much by introducing its rules. These standards from the time of the previous US president are known as the Clean Energy Plan

Over 90% of the Catalans supported the province's independence

About 90.18 percent of voters in the referendum voted on the independence of Catalonia on October 1, Reuters reports, referring to the final census results released by the government of the Spanish Autonomous Region.
Against the separation with Madrid, 7.83 percent of respondents in the referendum declared themselves. A total of 2.28 million people out of a total of 5.3 million voted in Catalonia. Catalan leader Carles Puccademon will address the regional parliament on Tuesday in connection with "the current political situation," a government spokesman said. The plenary session is scheduled to begin at 18:00 local time, despite the ban on the Spanish Constitutional Court. The Spanish Interior Ministry has meanwhile decided to extend the stay of Civil Guard and National Police officers in Catalonia by October 18, according to BTA. Force troops were sent to the Autonomous Region as part of an operation to solve the separatist problem. Initially, they were supposed to stay in Catalonia until October 11, but the leadership of the police and the Civil Guard now consider it necessary to extend their deployment in the area, the newspaper said. The Spanish Interior Ministry sent about 6,000 guards and police officers to Catalunya as part of the operation. There are still 6,000 people on a regular basis.

The S & P 500 ended the 8-day winning streak

US stock indices recorded mainly declines on Friday after disappointing labor market data, which revealed a drop in employment in the country for the first time in seven years. The blue Dow Jones industrial average index fell by 6 points, while Chevron and Boeing contributed most to the losses. 
The broader S & P 500 index shrank 0.1%, with the losers in the primary consumer goods and telecommunications sector. Thus, the index ended the eight-day winning series - the longest four-year series - and a series of six consecutive record-breaking closures, the longest series since 1997. 
The Nasdaq composite tech index managed to see a slight increase of 0.07%. 
The US labor market has lost 33,000 jobs in September, largely due to the two major hurricanes that hit the country in the month. This is the first drop in US employment since 2010. Economists surveyed by Reuters expected an increase of 90,000 jobs. Despite the decline in employment, average hourly wage increased at an annual rate of 2.9%. The unemployment rate has shrunk to a 16-year low of 4.2 percent. Return on US Treasury bills jumped after data were released. This 10-year paper reached 2.362%, and two-yearly - 1.51%, the highest level since 2008. 
"We all knew the report would be confusing for the distortions of hurricanes Harvey and Irma," said Richard Pickirllo, managing director of PGIM Fixed Income, to CNBC. "Despite the distortions, the average hourly wage is rising and unemployment is shrinking, and I think the bond market is reacting to that."
The main US indices recorded strong increases for the week, rising by more than 1%.

Kaplan: I'm open to raising interest rates in the US in December

Federal Reserve Chairman Dallas Robert Kaplan told CNBC on Friday he was "open" to raise interest rates in December, but is still not entirely convinced of it, the media said. Kaplan, who has voted in the Federal Open Market Commission this year, said the labor market is tightening despite weak employment figures in September, which showed a monthly decline for the first time in seven years. "We knew the September figures would be affected by Hurricane Harvey and, to some extent, Irma. And they really are, "Kaplan said.
"I prefer to look at three- to six- to nine-month trends. I think that much of the decline in jobs will, in my opinion, be temporary, "he said. The consensus estimate among economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters showed employment growth of 90,000 jobs in September. Unemployment has fallen to 4.2%. The next Fed meeting is October 31 and November 1, but markets do not expect interest rates to rise then. According to the market, however, the chances of a third rises in interest rates in 2017 are about 90% for the Fed's last Fed meeting scheduled for December 12-13, according to CME FedWatch. 
"I'm open for December, but I'm not sure," Kaplan said. As for the following year, however, he said: "We can afford to be patient."
In an interview with CNBC on Thursday, Patrick Harker, Fed Chairman of Philadelphia, said he expects interest rates to rise in December and three more in the next year, depending on how dynamics turns out to be. 

Thursday, October 5, 2017

Four scenarios for the crisis between the United States and North Korea

The first is a military collision. Everyone hopes, at least in words, to be avoided, yet hypotheses and scenarios are not missing. And probably preparation. The presumed likely beginning is a US preemptive strike on Korean military bases. The end - Chinese troops entering the ravaged country. The second is to regulate the problem through concessions, reflecting in particular the Chinese position, but also the Russian point of view: only diplomatic actions and forced bilateral de-sessions.
The third attempts to "sever the sanctions" of the North Korean regime, for which the United States is already taking the "maximum pressure" campaign and enjoying relatively broad international support. This time can be continued, but at risk of Pyongyang pressing against the wall to provoke the "man-rocket". The fourth scenario is "freezing", keeping calm, despite the tension, expecting tides of new provocations and outflows of relative lull without everything seeming like a continuing escalation. Obviously, you can only be certain "to time". Despite unusually radical statements, there is room for maneuvering. Two examples. The threats from the North Korean side that there is a blow to Guam have been revised and de facto withdrawn. And the extremely risky move, claiming that the United States had already started the war, received a US rebuttal, which showed that Washington is not yet ready to go all the way. We have also recently learned that Washington also has a direct connection channel with Pyongyang.

The United States is investing another $ 440 million in defense for North Korea

The Pentagon has demanded a reallocation of funds from the current US budget so as not to wait until the new one is adopted. The US is also investing $ 440 million in missile defense, including the increase in missile interceptors, The Hindu newspaper reported.
The information comes amid strong North Korea's efforts to develop a nuclear missile capable of reaching US territory. Because of the urgency of the situation, the Pentagon has asked Congress to allow a reallocation of funds from the current budget rather than waiting for the next defense budget. Prior to the financial injection, the US Department of Defense already had $ 8.2 billion for missile defense in its budget. On Tuesday, the Pentagon announced a $ 367m redeployment, with the remaining $ 73m expected to be announced in the coming days. Meanwhile, Pyongyang is advancing with its missile and nuclear program development programs, and analysts ask whether the Pentagon has developed missile defense capabilities that can handle the North Korean threat.

Who are the richest Germans

Bilanz magazine publishes the ranking of the richest 1000 people in the country. There are a total of 195 billionaires in Germany, according to Bilanz magazine. For the first time, it publishes a ranking of the richest 1000 Germans, reports Deutsche Welle. See who's taking the first six places and how they've grown their wealth.

The Empire of Dieter Schwarz

The wealth of the 77-year-old founder of the German chain Lidl supermarket, which has become a global player, is estimated at 37 billion euros. This makes Dieter Schwarz the richest German of all time. He opened his first store in the 1970s in Ludwigshafen, and then gradually expanded the chain around the world. This year in the United States, where Lidl competes with Walmart.

Reimen's family

Bilanz Magazine ranks second with the Reiman family - a 30 billion-euro state. She owns a number of brands, including the Wella hair cosmetics series, Clearasil acne preparations, Jimmy Choo shoes, and many others. Its business started in the 19th century as a chemical company, and today it is a conglomerate of companies.
They are the owners of the Sheffler Group - one of the major suppliers to the automotive industry. Elizabeth Sheffler-Thumen and her son Georg (right) hold the controlling stake in the German Continental tire manufacturer. Their wealth is valued at around 25.5 million euros, giving them the third place among the richest German families.

Karl Albrecht and a family

Aldi is one of Germany's most powerful dishonest chains of supermarkets. The family of Carl Albrecht, who died in 2014, heads the southern branch of the company (Aldi Süd). With a fortune of 23 billion euros, the family ranks fourth in the ranking of the "Bilanz" magazine. Not only in Germany, Aldi is one of the main competitors of Lidl.

The heirs of Theo Albrecht

The heirs of Aldi co-founder Theo Albrecht are owners of the Aldi Nord chain and are involved in the global operations of the concern. It also includes Trader Joe in the United States. Their state is valued at 18.5 billion euros - fifth in the ranking of the richest German families.
Automobile giant BMW, pharmaceutical and chemical company Alatana, producer of carbon products SGL - only three of the crown jewelery of Susanne Clinton, daughter of the former largest BMB shareholder, Herbert Quant. Her fortune is estimated at 18.5 billion euros

Canada facilitates the acquisition of citizenship for permanent residents

The changes provide for a reduction in the length of stay in Canadian territory. Canada plans to facilitate access to Canadian citizenship for permanent residents in the country by amending the Immigration Act. It is due to come into force on October 11, the Canadian government quoted AFP and BGNES as saying. Ю
The changes provide for a reduction in the length of stay in Canadian territory in order for a person to have the right to apply for citizenship, as well as a possibility for temporary residents such as foreign students. In its current form, the law requires permanent residents to live on the territory of the country for four consecutive years of the six, after which they have the right to file citizenship documents. Now, with the changes, this period falls three consecutive years out of five in order to get a Canadian passport. For this period, residents must also have income tax returns. "The aim of these changes is to remove restrictions and obstacles to people with permanent residency status," said Minister of Immigration Affairs Ahmed Hussein. He specified that the government wants all permanent residents in Canada to become Canadian citizens. 

The speech of the Spanish King has stepped up supporters of independent Catalonia

The Spanish Supreme Court has called for the head of the Catalonian police to be the witness. The Catalan leaders who declare independence continue to pursue their goal despite the unequivocal warning of King Felipe VI of Spain.
Catalunya Spanish President Carles Puccémon told the BBC that he would declare independence "at the end of this week or the beginning of the next." King Felipe VI described the referendum on Sunday as illegal and undemocratic. According to correspondents in Spain, the monarch's refusal to recognize the repressive violence on the part of the Madrid authorities against voting has annoyed supporters of independence rather than discouraging them. At the same time, the Spanish Supreme Court summoned the head of the Catalan regional police to testify as a suspect in an investigation into alleged unrest, including a rebellion against the state.